Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1044.925626 1193.431393 1362.220604 1569.669608 1819.690056 2113.754279 2489.444634
2025-01-19 797.951380 977.872781 1202.388870 1508.226293 1922.137043 2475.241505 3292.434937
2025-01-26 713.226560 915.578130 1184.432206 1577.935774 2157.397223 3010.985689 4429.419503
2025-02-02 643.630091 856.421135 1153.395554 1613.970427 2341.585608 3507.664005 5663.471416
2025-02-09 585.466075 802.021894 1116.686976 1628.999950 2488.915488 3974.497864 7007.724833
2025-02-16 532.602788 747.177286 1069.523597 1616.265879 2583.176045 4368.706279 8364.651655
2025-02-23 502.425475 721.731285 1062.386608 1664.855835 2790.048020 5022.063518 10557.317446
2025-03-02 478.371429 702.390000 1061.388412 1722.002528 3022.834411 5794.533190 13445.612489
2025-03-09 451.373050 675.125999 1043.350304 1744.613543 3191.541804 6481.299515 16533.629973
2025-03-16 422.416625 641.625727 1010.494338 1733.782608 3287.697070 7029.998966 19589.863248
2025-03-23 403.738451 623.376252 1001.870072 1767.858477 3488.442738 7910.467762 24486.445624
2025-03-30 374.245273 584.059211 951.329586 1710.390632 3467.456181 8190.541679 27357.795199
2025-04-06 347.327279 547.945587 904.743142 1658.198923 3457.503960 8528.921678 30975.154213
2025-04-13 321.809550 512.531939 856.512909 1596.932749 3415.391184 8768.338172 34493.512441
2025-04-20 315.062215 509.981087 870.077702 1671.335137 3738.872631 10321.598934 47300.349849
2025-04-27 304.729659 499.960089 867.971001 1710.245604 3978.560952 11723.705489 62177.722187
2025-05-04 292.873833 486.127389 856.820759 1726.429092 4159.177732 13014.235395 79611.835415
2025-05-11 279.110046 467.663665 834.509648 1712.707985 4248.584502 13996.400701 97447.243776
2025-05-18 272.500813 462.355257 838.818049 1765.083222 4558.735321 16155.932947 136814.107352
2025-05-25 267.002138 458.742872 846.276124 1826.724999 4920.043228 18861.190897 200805.299901
2025-06-01 258.770212 449.116048 839.827240 1851.127132 5163.687712 21184.158331 279692.822664
2025-06-08 248.355249 434.418433 820.948068 1839.437347 5276.209086 22879.101386 365207.119787
2025-06-15 242.167047 427.863537 819.646404 1876.220739 5584.082026 26111.398382 552495.211078